BOOK
REVIEW
Inquest of a defeat
The Tiger Vanquished by M R Narayan Swamy
Reviewed by Sreeram Chaulia
The unexpected destruction in May 2009 of one of the world's
most fearsome guerrilla movements, the Liberation Tigers of
Tamil Eelam (LTTE), has altered Sri Lanka's fate completely.
Explanations for this separatist rebel group's momentous
demise have thus far remained limited to bits-and-pieces
opinion articles and half-baked books.
The field was wide open for the world's most renowned
authority on Sri Lankan Tamil militancy, senior Indian
journalist M R Narayan Swamy, to plug the gaps in
understanding the fall of an organization whose birth and
maturity he chronicled in two earlier bestselling books,
Tigers of Lanka (1994) and Inside an Elusive Mind
(2003).
The Tiger Vanquished comes as a fitting finale of a
trilogy that can be rated as the finest collective reference
guide to the devastating three-decade-long war in Sri
Lanka's north and east.
This concluding volume contains a long introduction and
contextualized articles Swamy wrote from 2003, when the LTTE
shunned the international peace process, to 2009, when its
supremo, Velupillai Prabhakaran, perished with his
organizational top brass in a savage Sri Lankan military
assault. The thread running through the book is an
examination of the immediate and ultimate causes for the
once invulnerable LTTE's destruction.
When Mahinda Rajapaksa, a one-time human-rights activist and
Sinhalese Buddhist hardliner, became Sri Lanka's head of
state in 2005, Prabhakaran was "arrogantly confident of
success" (p xviii) in his lifelong ambition of carving out
an independent homeland for the island's Tamils. He picked
Sarath Fonseka, the Sri Lankan Army (SLA) chief, as the
latest target of his elite corps of suicide bombers, the
Black Tigers. Prabhakaran's strategic goal was to derail the
state's war machine that was taking shape amidst a crumbling
ceasefire.
The sensational attempt failed and Fonseka miraculously
survived. This and other provocative tit-for-tat actions by
the LTTE and the SLA in the eastern province formally
triggered the fourth phase of the protracted Eelam war.
Swamy argues that the LTTE's unsuccessful bid to assassinate
the younger brother of President Rajapaksa in December 2006
was "the most decisive turning point in the war" (p xxi), as
it steeled the resolve of Sri Lankan state elites to pursue
nothing short of total annihilation of the painful thorn in
their flesh. Rajapaksa went for Prabhakaran's jugular while
the latter calculated that the regime would capitulate to
his audacious strikes.
By early 2009, after suffering severe setbacks at the hands
of the SLA and getting cornered in the forested northern
district of Mullaitheevu, Prabhakaran hoped for Indian and
Western intervention for an 11th hour ceasefire. It was to
no avail, and he was killed in battle in May "in the same
callous and brutal manner he had so often used to send so
many thousands to their death". (p xxiv)
Swamy elaborates through fresh revelations that the Congress
Party-led coalition government in India played a crucial
role in the LTTE's rout. The preceding regime in
New
Delhi under the Bharatiya Janata Party had
covertly orchestrated the Norway-sponsored ceasefire
agreement between Colombo and the LTTE in 2002. But the
Indian establishment under Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and
Congress leader Sonia Gandhi, a woman widowed by Prabhakaran,
progressively tilted towards the Sri Lankan government in
the war's endgame.
India's Intelligence Bureau (IB) cracked down hard on LTTE's
networks in the southern Indian state of
Tamil Nadu and kept a gimlet eye on developments in Sri
Lanka during the final years of the war. Swamy divulges that
the IB was the first to uncover the truth about a mysterious
accident off Sri Lanka's coast in 2007, when Soosai, the
LTTE's naval chief, barely escaped death.
The chief minister of Tamil Nadu, Karunanidhi, widely
regarded as an LTTE backer, actually did nothing to prevent
the Tigers from breathing their last breath. While serving
Karunanidhi's government, the Tamil Nadu police's "Q Branch"
crippled LTTE insurgents on Indian soil with seizures and
arrests. Indian interdictions were critical at the finish
because "the Tigers' dependence on Tamil Nadu had soared
parallel to their mounting difficulties in Western
countries". (p 87)
Swamy does not dispute rumors that India harbored the leader
of the breakaway faction of the LTTE, Karuna Amman, who
weakened Prabhakaran's de facto state like none other.
Recalling LTTE propagandists' accusations in 2004 that India
covertly aided the renegade Karuna, the author mentions that
this former bodyguard turned bete noire of Prabhakaran
"quietly spent time in India when Sri Lanka became too
dangerous for him". (p xlii).
Swamy spotted the irony as early as 2007 that Rajapaksa was
not returning India's favors by implementing verbal
assurances of a power devolution package for Sri Lanka's
minority Tamils. Now that the war is over, New Delhi finds
itself with even less leverage to ensure that Colombo grants
political autonomy to the discriminated people of the north
and east.
Swamy could have raised a number of moot questions in this
regard: What did
India gain geostrategically from
propelling the LTTE's defeat? Is Sri Lanka any less
susceptible to China's influence because India was
instrumental in wiping out the LTTE? Is Rajapaksa's
illiberal reign a sign of progress or regression? Will India
benefit from an imposed victor's peace on Tamils in Sri
Lanka?
In one reproduced column from 2008, Swamy writes
matter-of-factly that "everyone agrees India matters the
most in Sri Lanka". (p 133) A good year after the war, with
Indian military and diplomatic aid no longer absolutely
imperative for Sri Lanka, serious doubts arose about such
convictions. A line of inquiry that Swamy ignores, but one
which is nonetheless tangential to the LTTE's fall, is
whether India allowed itself to be taken for a ride by the
deceptive and ethnic chauvinist Sri Lankan government?
A cardinal error Prabhakaran committed after Karuna's
desertion was to wage a virtual war on Tamil civilians to
enforce loyalty and extract the last ounces out of a
war-weary populace. Horrific conscription and
re-conscription drives, mass intimidation and the use of
civilians as human shields robbed the LTTE of its oxygen -
public sympathy.
When the end came, few beleaguered Tamils in the battle
zones willingly cooperated with their so-called
"liberators". Alienation and "silent anger in the Tamil
community" (p lxi) orphaned the rebels who once rode on
relatively high social legitimacy. Swamy does not downplay
the horrific abuses committed by Sri Lankan
security forces as the war culminated, but
the LTTE's impunity was strategically costlier.
The secretive and paranoid Prabhakaran's decision in 2003 to
replace the legendary Scarlet Pimpernel, Kumaran
Pathmanathan (aka "KP"), as international arms procurement
chief with another confidante, V Manivannan, alias "Castro",
was one of the most consequential blunders that contributed
to the LTTE's undoing. Swamy narrates how Prabhakaran
resurrected KP when the war was almost lost and no late
miracle could save a "sinking ship called the LTTE". (p l)
The author lists Prabhakaran's hubris, "false sense of
superiority" (p lvii) and misreading of India and the West
after September 11, 2001, as other fatal mistakes that
brought down his empire in a gory climax. Had the Tiger boss
correctly read New Delhi's preference for democracy,
pluralism and human rights in the north and east, and
liberalized his totalitarian rule, his dream of achieving
freedom for Sri Lankan Tamils may not have been
comprehensively extinguished.
Swamy observes, contrary to received wisdom, that
Prabhakaran "often acted irrationally" and "at times took
decisions that made no sense". (p 44) When the ceasefire of
2002 offered a golden opportunity to seal a permanent
settlement with the LTTE in the driver's seat, Prabhakaran
"slipped on the political art of compromise and
accommodation badly". (p 181) His decree to Tamil voters to
boycott the November 2005 presidential elections spiked the
prospects of the liberal Sinhalese candidate Ranil
Wickremasinghe and ironically paved the path to victory for
Rajapaksa, who went on to be Prabhakaran's nemesis.
Swamy reasserts the view that Prabhakaran's biggest
indiscretion was ordering the assassination of former Indian
prime minister Rajiv Gandhi. The Tiger commander-in-chief
also erred in military tactics by not scattering LTTE's
forces and senior echelons once the SLA embarked on a
no-holds-barred offensive in late 2008. The famed guerrilla
forgot the fundamentals of unconventional war when the
curtains were closing.
The author lays part of the blame for LTTE's collapse on its
diehard donors and acolytes among the Tamil diaspora
residing in the West. These non-resident Sri Lankan Tamils
failed to articulate in favor of a negotiated end to the
conflict when the timing was apt. Their "illusions" (p
lxxiii) and "persistent aggression" (p 185) wasted the lives
of tens of thousands of innocent Tamil civilians facing
bullets and fear in the north and east.
Swamy cites a disillusioned young female escapee from LTTE's
ranks lamenting in retrospect that, "after so much
destruction, the Tamils are nowhere". (p lxxvii) He quotes a
former Prabhakaran associate in despair that Sri Lankan
Tamils are "today not in zero but in minus". (p 151)
Prabhakaran's penchant for "unlimited violence" and "supreme
destruction" (p 174) come in for consistent criticism
throughout Swamy's book, reconfirming that the militant mode
of emancipation is often a folly of epic proportions. Via a
wealth of previously unknown empirical details, The Tiger
Vanquished sends a profound message that choice of means
is the most meaningful factor in political struggles.
The Tiger Vanquished. LTTE's Story by M R Narayan
Swamy. SAGE Publications, New Delhi, 2010. ISBN:
978-81-321-0459-9. Price: US$8, 276 pages.
Sreeram Chaulia is associate professor of world
politics at the OP Jindal Global University in Sonipat,
India.
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